Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 103.713768 119.367012 137.887184 161.786028 192.376548 231.055110 285.106139
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 90.354322 112.113784 141.127603 184.349452 250.519336 355.003221 551.002416
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 77.202743 99.765765 131.929264 184.152904 274.045236 441.116238 845.387085
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.921365 90.321627 123.827541 181.882733 291.663900 527.041946 1265.451742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 60.708045 82.476945 116.251862 177.843987 303.734556 610.453855 1872.458925
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.719475 77.169803 111.577835 177.407786 322.623905 727.625493 3075.431499
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.852341 73.048663 108.081043 178.137586 344.454233 878.462964 5730.256895
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 47.483476 67.601767 101.478023 171.159315 344.798627 960.693661 9368.254334
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.751611 66.269345 101.900584 178.773133 387.372217 1282.293783 42183.518656
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 42.539116 62.116824 96.615890 172.782876 388.494860 1415.228871 175201.625914
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 40.603104 59.967714 94.803966 174.311045 414.222181 1762.958963 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.466284 57.279363 91.635351 171.992702 426.485712 2069.940501 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 37.643962 57.082667 93.794767 184.629052 507.765766 3579.756568 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 37.928845 58.961183 100.583539 212.298867 689.686457 11459.111015 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 35.980705 56.458459 97.712923 212.056032 740.335123 21395.623658 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.077243 53.864231 94.291004 209.259851 776.169866 42533.075543 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.233918 51.233899 90.470574 204.294234 795.527633 90817.142816 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.844279 49.377866 88.187662 203.758615 848.233389 643915.174835 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.664501 47.840931 86.455314 204.654825 917.227932 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.066308 45.360141 82.253523 196.100843 898.787907 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.542109 44.997240 83.037731 205.435596 1063.389290 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.225253 42.933692 79.495124 198.087910 1051.001775 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.447311 41.926496 78.446533 199.959949 1150.050071 NaN NaN